The Daily Degenerate Fantasy Baseball Picks 7/21

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Happy Monday, Dirty Turbaners! Hopefully you all had an incredibly productive weekend full of drinking and gambling on sports! That’s exactly what consumed my weekend, as I cashed in a contest or two every night. It was a beautiful thing as my bankroll more than doubled. The best of the bunch was a last second victory due to a 9th inning RBI single by A-Gon in the Sunday Night game. Heading into the break I was on a monstrous cold streak, but I’ve managed to right the ship and get myself back on a bed of green.

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Let’s keep the momentum going tonight. I’ve studied the board and I think I’ve got a lineup that will rake in some dough and get us on the way to taking other people’s money.

Want to play ith the Dirty Turban crew tonight? Hit up this link and may the best man (or lady) win.

All prices based on DraftKings pricing

SP 1 – Chris Sale, $12,100: Not many players are more consistent in our daily game than Sale. He’s in the company of Kershaw, Wainwright, and King Felix on the Mt. Rushmore of Daily Fantasy in 2014. Going deep into games and racking up K’s, Sale is always worth the price. He squares off against the Royals today who are coming off a tough matchup against fellow lefty Jon Lester. The Royals looked lost yesterday, and I would expect that trend to continue as they face the best of what the American League has to offer in Sale.

SP 2 – Julio Teheran, $9,400: I love Teheran almost as much as an Ayatollah on a bender. When Julio is on the mound my world is all hummus and sixth wife shopping!  But seriously, Julio’s been a little off his last two starts putting up a stinker against the Mets and a mediocre outing against the Cubs. Lucky for us Teheran gets the Marlins at home tonight. If there’s anything we’ve learned about the fish this season it’s that they hate being out of water (see what I did there?). As their road production is amongst the worst in the majors. Owners of a .295 road wOBA, a 25.2% K%, and a road wRC+ of 85. There aren’t many teams pitchers should be more excited to face at home.

C – Caleb Joseph, $2,000: Caleb Joseph is like the Ramen Noodle of daily fantasy – helping you pinch pennies early in the week to afford that steak dinner on Friday (Chris Sale). He’s not good and you don’t expect much, but he does the job.

1B – Adrian Gonzalez, $4,300: A-Gon was last night’s hero of the evening winning the Dodgers the matinee of their series in St. Louis, as well as putting me over the top in a 3 team cash league. I’m giving my boy some love, but it’s more than that. As Mr. Gonzalez’s career BvP against Edinson Volquez is sweet as he’s 4/14 with two bombs. I’m hoping he can regain some of his early season form and put one into the seats at PNC tonight.

2B – Ramon Santiago, $2,300: Here’s an upside punt play I’ve been riding since Brandon Phillips went down a few weeks ago. Not only is Santiago cheap, but he’s been pretty solid. Putting up double digit totals (13, 17, 13, and 11) 4 times since the 7th of July. He hasn’t been feast or famine either, Having scored less than 7 points only once in his last 8 starts. The only caveat, make sure he’s in the lineup.

3B – Anthony Rendon, $4,600: Rendon and the Nationals travel to Denver tonight to face off against the Rockies and Franklin Morales. Rendon loves hitting lefties like Morales, putting up a wOBA of .416. Vs. southpaws. He’s actually done most of his lefty bashing away from Nationals Park, as his road lefty wOBA is a fat .502! This all sets up great for tonight’s matchup as he travels to the most hitter friendly stadium in the bigs. So let’s review, Rendon + Lefty + road game (X) Coors = Must start. Got it? Good!

SS – Xander Bogaerts, $3,300: X-man rewarded my faith in him with a 20 point night on Friday. Looking to get back to his pre-June levels of production, Xander should stay on the right track against Drew Hutchinson and the Blue Jays tonight. Expect to see Xander in my picks quite a bit going forward while his price is this low. Not many everyday players of Bogaerts ability cost under $3,500.

OF 1 – Ryan Zimmerman, $4,800: Zim has been a beast the last few weeks averaging 10.8 points over the last 12 games on DraftKings. As I mentioned in my Rendon write up, the Nats get a good matchup against Franklin Morales at Coors tonight. I’m betting on Zimmerman continuing his hot hitting in the mile high city. He’s hit lefties well this year putting up a wOBA of .365 to go with a wRC+ of 134. I think Zim’s one of the best bets on the board today, so plug him in.

OF 2 – Colby Rasmus, $3,700: Grey Albright of Razzball has a theory that Colby Rasmus only hits homers on short schedule days. I’m not sure if that’s true, but it is a short schedule day and Rasmus has started to heat up. Having put up good totals on back to back days over the weekend, I’m taking a shot and hoping Grey’s theory holds true.

OF 3 – David Peralta, $3,500: Pickings are slim for outfield options under 3,600 today, and I’m not going to throw just anyone at my loyal readers. So I’m going with a reliable option I’ve been starting a lot over the last month or so in Peralta. He gets Justin Verlander today in the desert, and that doesn’t mean what it meant back in 2012. If anything this year Verlander has become synonymous with the term blow up, giving up 4 runs or more in 8 of his last 12 starts. He’s also struggled against left handed batters like Peralta on the road allowing a wOBA of .319, and that’s with an xFIP of 4.64. So I’d expect those numbers against left-handed batters to swell over the next couple of months. Peralta has also done most of his damage against righties hitting .351 with 3 homers, and wOBA of .392. Sorry Kate but get your bosom ready to sop up Mr. Verlander’s tears once again.

As always be sure to check the lineups, give a look at the weather and I toast your team with slightly chilled Manischewitz.

aaralph
Contributing Writer: Ralph Lifshitz

@Ralphlifshitzbb
#DirtyTurban

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